Best Markets for Home Values
Equity is like a pot of gold at the end of the rainbow for homeowners. It’s the money that owners gain over time as they pay off their mortgage debt and as rising values make their homes more valuable.
You can calculate your home’s equity by subtracting the amount of principal you still owe on your home mortgage from the value of your home. You can find the current balance owed on your monthly statement and you can get a good idea of your home’s current value by using Homes.com’s value estimator.
Home values don’t always rise, as millions of homeowners found out a decade ago. When values fell so low that their homes were worth less than their mortgages, homeowners were in a state of “negative equity.” Without a cushion of equity to protect them, owners became very vulnerable to foreclosure, and 40 million families lost their homes.
Today, real estate economic conditions resemble the boom that preceded the housing bust. Demand from first-time buyers is extremely strong. Inventories of homes for sale have declined for three years, pushing up prices at a rate far faster than normal as demand exceeds supply. Last year, prices surpassed the previous peak reached in 2006 and continue to rise.
Median home prices, 2000 to 2018:
This year soaring prices have put homeownership out of reach for millions of first-time buyers, at least for now. Home sales fell for fourth straight months in the spring and summer as supply and demand seek a new equilibrium.
There’s a popular saying in real estate: “All real estate is local.” If you are looking at market conditions in a variety of markets, you will find that values appreciate at different rates in different markets. The inventory shortage in San Francisco, for example, has been underway for several years. High demand erased inventory and drove up prices. Even as higher prices encouraged owners to sell, new listings were gobbled up in a few days. Eventually, prices became unaffordable, demand fell, homes took longer to sell, and sales hit a plateau. Flat sales flattened prices. Inventories now are improving; prices are finally stabilizing.
Different markets are at different places in this equation, but by figuring out where they are, you should be able to predict what will happen next to prices.
July 2018 Market Data:
|Market||Median Price||Price Trend||Supply Trend||New Lists||Days on Market||Outlook|
|Sacramento, CA||$469,050||-2%||+11%||0||+9%||Prices falling|
|Denver, CO||$490,047||0||+77%||-5%||+3%||Prices stabilizing|
|Orlando, FL||$339,050||-1%||-2%||-4%||-13%||Prices still rising|
|Seattle, WA||$599,055||0||+25%||+3%||+3%||Prices stabilizing|
|Nashville, TN||$374,559||0||+19%||+20%||-2%||Prices falling|
|New York, NY||$519,000||0||-1%||+9%||-9%||Prices rising|
|Washington, DC||$499,950||-3%||+22%||+11%||-10%||Prices falling|
|Boston, MA||$534,959||-3%||+3%||+13%||-8%||Prices stabilizing|
|Charlotte, NC||$350,050||-3%||-5%||-2%||-8%||Prices still rising|
|Atlanta, GA||$338,550||-2%||-9%||+2%||+11%||Prices falling|
|Virginia Beach, VA||$309,950||0||+16%||+11%||0||Prices falling|
|Jacksonville, FL||$319,550||-2%||+11%||+11%||0||Prices falling|
|Grand Rapids, MI||$288,950||-1%||-10%||+3%||-10%||Prices rising|
|Charleston, SC||$375,050||-2%||-11%||-4%||0||Prices stabilizing|
|San Francisco, CA||$1,000,015||-10%||+13%||+3%||-9%||Prices falling|
- Price trend is a month over month change in median price
- Supply trend is year over the change in active listings
- New lists are year over year change in new listings
- Days on market is year over year change in days from listing to contract
Our data illustrates how major change is underway in larger markets across the country as demand slows and prices begin to stabilize and even fall.