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Contracts to buy homes took a spring leap of 6.1% in March

Data may reflect response to minor changes in mortgage rates

A residential street in Jackson, Mississippi. The South saw a 9.8% jump in pending sales last month. (Aaron Bloodworth/Homes.com)
A residential street in Jackson, Mississippi. The South saw a 9.8% jump in pending sales last month. (Aaron Bloodworth/Homes.com)
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More consumers signed contracts in March to buy houses, a sign that a positive turn in the market may be ahead after actual home sales last month showed disappointing results.

Pending sales of single-family homes and condos increased 6.1% in March on a seasonally adjusted annual basis, the National Association of Realtors reported Wednesday. It was the greatest month-to-month increase since December 2023. This follows NAR’s report last week that existing home sales fell 5.9% in March. Actual sales often follow contract signings by 30 to 60 days.

As always, mortgage rates played a key role in buyers’ decisions to put down money on homes, said Lawrence Yun, the NAR’s chief economist. As of last Thursday, the average rate on a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage was 6.81%, Freddie Mac reported. But it had fallen to 6.65% in mid-March.

“Home buyers are acutely sensitive to even minor fluctuations in mortgage rates,” Yun said in a statement. “While contract signings are not a guarantee of eventual closings, the solid rise in pending home sales implies a sizable buildup of potential home buyers fueled by ongoing job growth.”

It’s not surprising that homebuying interest would grow in March; it’s the beginning of the spring shopping season, when purchases typically spike, Yun said. He noted that the supply of homes for sale was up 8.1% in March, giving consumers more choices.

On a regional basis, the South saw a 9.8% jump in pending sales in March from the prior month. Contracts in the Midwest and West also rose, though more modestly at 4.9% and 4.8%, respectively. The Northeast was the only region to see a decline, at 0.5%.

Since one year ago, pending sales have fallen across the U.S. by 0.6%. The Midwest was the only one of the four major regions to register an increase in transactions, at 1.4%. The Northeast was down 3%, the West 2% and the South, 0.4%.

David Holtzman
David Holtzman Staff Writer

David Holtzman is a staff writer for Homes.com with over a decade of journalism experience. He lives in Richmond, Virginia, with his family and writes about government housing policies. Originally from the Boston area, he holds degrees from Colby College and Tufts University.

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